Manchester United are considered to have a significantly better chance of getting relegated than qualifying for the next season’s Champions League after a wretched start to the new Premier League campaign.
Ruben Amorim’s side were condemned to a limp 3–0 defeat by Manchester City on Sunday afternoon, leaving United with just four points from as many top-flight matches this term. The last time the club suffered such a slow start to a top-flight season was back in 1992—although Sir Alex Ferguson did lead the Red Devils to the first Premier League title at the end of that campaign.
There appears to be little danger of history repeating itself.
According to ’s supercomputer, which takes into consideration a raft of advanced metrics to establish the strength of each club before simulating the season’s remaining fixtures 10,000 times, United have a 0.18% chance of winning the Premier League. That this figure is above zero simply underscores the randomness of a game played with an unpredictable round ball.
Somewhat more concerningly, suggest that United qualify for the Champions League in just 4.18% of their simulations. By contrast, the traditional English giants are relegated 10.95%.
